International Cricket Council
Virat with KL and Bumrah

What India's path to the semi-finals looks like after key victory

After one-sided defeats to Pakistan and New Zealand in their first two games, India finally got points on board with a 66-run win over Afghanistan in Abu Dhabi.

The Men in Bue needed to win and win big against Afghanistan, given that their net run rate was -1.609 before the game. And the team responded in a strong fashion, restricting Afghanistan to 144/7 in their chase of 211.

The win against Afghanistan keeps India’s World Cup hopes alive but there’s a lot that needs to go their way if they are to make it to the semi-finals.

Virat Kohli’s side will have to win their two remaining games, by big margins at that, and hope that New Zealand drop points against either Namibia or Afghanistan.

Video cwc19 03 Nov 21
Match Highlights: India vs Afghanistan

Remaining Group 2 fixtures

New Zealand vs Namibia    
India vs Scotland    
New Zealand vs Afghanistan    
Pakistan vs Scotland    
India vs Namibia    

The FTX Bracket Challenge

There are three spots up for grabs in the semi-finals, with only Pakistan guaranteed a place in the final four at the time of writing. Who will make it to the World Cup semi-finals?

Have your say in the FTX ICC T20 Men’s World Cup Bracket Challenge.

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The net run-rate situation

The 66-run win over Afghanistan helped India finish with a positive net run rate of 0.073. However, they still have a lot of catching up to do as Afghanistan, thanks to their massive win over Scotland, have a net run rate of +1.481 while New Zealand's stands at +0.816.

"NRR was on the back of our mind," said Virat Kohli in the post-match presentation. "We spoke in the team meeting that we have to focus on the chance we have [to qualify] and stay positive and hunt that chance down."

Video cwc19 03 Nov 21
Match Highlights: India vs Afghanistan

Though India will be happy with their win today, they could end up ruing the fact that they conceded 56 runs in the last five overs, when they could have killed the game and bolstered their net run rate further, which could decide the semi-finalists.

Amongst the many permutations possible, if India do end up winning the remaining two games, New Zealand beat Namibia but lose to Afghanistan, there could be a three-way tie at 6 points, with net run rate deciding which team goes through.

New Zealand have their fate in their own hands

After a defeat in their first game to Pakistan, New Zealand bounced back really well with wins over India and Scotland. They registered a convincing win over Virat Kohli's men, but were guilty of letting the match out of their hands in the game against Scotland, where they won by 16 runs.

Video cwc19 03 Nov 21
Match Highlights: New Zealand v Scotland

Despite the narrow margin of victory against Scotland, New Zealand's net run rate is a solid +0.816. And as things stand, the Black Caps’ fate lies in their own hands - win the remaining games and qualify for the semi-finals.

Namibia need a miracle

At the moment, Scotland are the only team that have been mathematically knocked out of contention for a semi-final spot. Namibia, on the other hand, could still qualify if a lot of results go their way.

More importantly, Namibia themselves will have to beat New Zealand and India by massive margins, given their net run rate is -1.600, in order to make it to the final four.

In a scenario where they win both their remaining games and Afghanistan beat New Zealand by a small margin, Namibia and Afghanistan could be tied at 6 points, with the team with higher NRR going through.